# EX-14 results

The result is **realization-limited, with a positive conditional effect**.

Across 100 paired checkpoint futures: A realized 0/100, B 41/100, C-only 0/100,
and BC 64/100. The paired event `I_BC ∨ I_B` occurred in 64/100 futures. On
that predefined subset, `D = N_BC − N_B` was positive in 63/64, zero in 0/64
and negative in 1/64. Mean D was 99.45 births; median D was 4.

The conditional effect met the preregistered 80% positive gate. All zero/zero
futures remained in the unconditional realization denominator. This supports a
realization bottleneck in this checkpoint ecology, not dependency erosion. It
does not establish historical accumulation, historical necessity or environmental
mediation.